Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.000170 0.000191 0.000212 0.000237 0.000264 0.000294 0.000328
2025-07-06 0.000141 0.000168 0.000199 0.000237 0.000281 0.000332 0.000395
2025-07-13 0.000119 0.000149 0.000186 0.000234 0.000293 0.000364 0.000457
2025-07-20 0.000105 0.000139 0.000182 0.000239 0.000314 0.000409 0.000538
2025-07-27 0.000093 0.000129 0.000175 0.000241 0.000330 0.000448 0.000614
2025-08-03 0.000083 0.000119 0.000169 0.000241 0.000343 0.000483 0.000689
2025-08-10 0.000073 0.000110 0.000161 0.000238 0.000352 0.000513 0.000757
2025-08-17 0.000067 0.000103 0.000157 0.000240 0.000366 0.000550 0.000839
2025-08-24 0.000060 0.000096 0.000150 0.000237 0.000373 0.000577 0.000907
2025-08-31 0.000054 0.000090 0.000145 0.000236 0.000382 0.000608 0.000983
2025-09-07 0.000050 0.000085 0.000141 0.000236 0.000393 0.000641 0.001065
2025-09-14 0.000046 0.000080 0.000136 0.000234 0.000399 0.000668 0.001138
2025-09-21 0.000043 0.000077 0.000134 0.000237 0.000416 0.000715 0.001250
2025-09-28 0.000040 0.000074 0.000132 0.000239 0.000430 0.000756 0.001354
2025-10-05 0.000036 0.000069 0.000127 0.000237 0.000437 0.000786 0.001444
2025-10-12 0.000035 0.000068 0.000128 0.000243 0.000459 0.000845 0.001587
2025-10-19 0.000033 0.000065 0.000125 0.000245 0.000473 0.000890 0.001710
2025-10-26 0.000030 0.000062 0.000123 0.000245 0.000484 0.000931 0.001828
2025-11-02 0.000028 0.000059 0.000119 0.000242 0.000490 0.000961 0.001927
2025-11-09 0.000026 0.000057 0.000117 0.000244 0.000504 0.001008 0.002062
2025-11-16 0.000025 0.000054 0.000113 0.000241 0.000508 0.001036 0.002162
2025-11-23 0.000023 0.000051 0.000110 0.000240 0.000515 0.001072 0.002280
2025-11-30 0.000022 0.000049 0.000108 0.000240 0.000526 0.001114 0.002412